Business

The Nigerian naira opened the new week relatively stable against the United States dollar, with the official exchange rate remaining lower than the parallel-market rate. At the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market, the dollar is trading at about N1,326.84 as of Monday, September 14, 2026. In the parallel market, the dollar is being bought for around N1,380 and sold for about N1,390. This creates a gap of roughly N63 between the official rate and the parallel-market selling rate. At the current parallel-market rate, 100 dollars would cost about N139,000, while 1,000 dollars would require approximately N1.39 million. The naira’s recent stability has been linked to improved dollar liquidity and efforts by the Central Bank of Nigeria to stabilise the foreign exchange market. However, analysts say the exchange rate could still be affected by factors including foreign exchange liquidity, crude oil earnings, external reserves, diaspora remittances, investor inflows and monetary policy decisions. Market participants are expected to closely monitor trading at the official market this week to see whether the naira can maintain its recent stability.

The Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria, CIBN, says Nigeria’s improving economic indicators will mean little unless they translate into lower living costs, more jobs, higher incomes and better living standards for citizens. The President and Chairman of Council of the CIBN, Dr Dele Alabi, made this known at the opening of the institute’s 19th Annual Banking and Finance Conference in Abuja. Alabi says Nigeria’s economic reforms must move beyond improving macroeconomic figures and begin to produce tangible benefits for households and businesses. He says the next phase of the reforms should focus on ensuring that economic stability leads to increased investment, affordable credit, stronger businesses and reduced poverty. The CIBN president also highlights the need to support micro, small and medium enterprises, which continue to face high operating costs, poor infrastructure, limited market access, skills shortages and slow digital adoption. The World Bank’s Lead Private Sector Development Specialist in Nigeria, Bertine Kamphuis, also says credit to the private sector remains inadequate. She urges banks to increase financing for sectors with strong job-creation potential, particularly agriculture, manufacturing and MSMEs. Kamphuis says this is important as between three and four million young Nigerians enter the labour market every year. Meanwhile, President Bola Tinubu has urged Nigerian banks to rethink their approach to risk and play a stronger role in financing productive sectors of the economy. Tinubu, represented by the Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Taiwo Oyedele, says strong bank profits alone are no longer enough. He says banks must help businesses access affordable credit, support manufacturers to expand and bring more productive MSMEs into the formal financial system. The President says Nigeria’s economy is returning to stability and investor confidence is improving, but warns that macroeconomic stability should not be mistaken for prosperity. He says the next phase of the country’s reforms must convert stability into investment, investment into production, production into jobs and economic growth into improved living standards. On bank recapitalisation, the Central Bank of Nigeria Governor, Olayemi Cardoso, says the significant capital raised by banks demonstrates the depth of capital available locally. Cardoso, represented by CBN Deputy Governor Philip Ikeazor, urges banks to use the additional capital to finance the real sector and support faster economic growth. He also calls on state governments to work with the CBN and Federal Government to tackle inflation, expressing optimism that single-digit inflation is achievable through stronger collaboration.

Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals has unveiled a N2.15 trillion Initial Public Offer, IPO, aimed at giving millions of Nigerians and other Africans an opportunity to own shares in the refinery. The offer comprises 4.1 billion ordinary shares priced at N525 each, with a minimum subscription of 10 shares, allowing investors to participate with as little as N5,250. The company is targeting about 10 million retail investors, a figure that would significantly surpass the Nigerian capital market’s previous record of about 181,000 retail participants in a single transaction. President and Chief Executive Officer of Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, unveiled the offer in Lagos, describing it as an IPO designed to give ordinary people an opportunity to become shareholders. The offer, which has been approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission, SEC, is expected to open on September 14 and close on October 13, subject to applicable regulatory conditions. The shares are also expected to be listed on the Main Board of the Nigerian Exchange, NGX. The IPO is expected to support the refinery’s expansion programme, which will increase its refining capacity from 700,000 barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day by 2028. Dangote says the expansion will make the Lekki-based facility the world’s largest refinery. He says the project is central to the Dangote Group’s Vision 2030, which focuses on accelerating industrialisation across Africa, with energy security as a major priority. The Group Managing Director of Vetiva Capital Management, Chuka Eseka, says the IPO is structured to promote transparency, accountability and broad participation. He says retail investors will be able to subscribe electronically through bank applications, online platforms and stockbrokers, while institutional investors can participate electronically or through receiving agents. Managing Director of FirstCap, Ukandu Ukandu, says the company is targeting about 10 million retail investors, while Stanbic IBTC Capital CEO, Oladele Sotubo, says the offer will allow ordinary Nigerians to become shareholders in the refinery. Eligible retail investors may also receive up to two additional shares under an incentive arrangement, subject to the conditions contained in the offer documents. Meanwhile, Chief Executive Officer of Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals, David Bird, describes the facility as a pan-African energy platform serving Nigeria, West Africa and international markets. Bird says the refinery has become a major supplier of aviation fuel to Europe and has developed into a trading-led merchant refinery capable of processing different crude grades. He says preparations for the planned expansion are largely complete, with construction remaining the major outstanding phase. Bird says construction is expected to be completed by 2028, paving the way for the refinery to become the world’s largest integrated refining and petrochemical complex.

Foreign investors have withdrawn a net N266.07 billion from Nigeria’s equities market in the first seven months of 2026, marking a sharp increase from the N22.68 billion recorded during the same period in 2023. Data from the Nigerian Exchange Limited shows that foreign investors brought in N513.36 billion between January and July 2026 but withdrew N779.43 billion, leaving a net outflow of N266.07 billion. Analysts say the trend is a concern because foreign investors provide significant liquidity to the market and contribute foreign exchange. They attribute the withdrawals to factors including profit-taking, portfolio rebalancing and concerns about Nigeria’s investment environment. However, analysts note that domestic investors have helped sustain activity on the Nigerian Exchange, while some foreign investors have shifted more of their funds into fixed-income securities because of attractive yields.

The Federal Government’s domestic borrowing rises by 90.5 per cent year-on-year to N24.7 trillion between January and August 2026, compared with N12.98 trillion recorded during the same period in 2025. The increase is largely driven by higher issuance of FGN bonds and Treasury Bills, with experts warning that the borrowing could crowd out businesses and households from accessing credit. CBN data shows that credit to the government grows by 43 per cent to N33.92 trillion in July 2026, while credit to the private sector rises by only 9.6 per cent to N83.43 trillion. Experts say the increased borrowing provides attractive returns for investors but makes it more difficult and expensive for businesses to obtain loans. They also warn that rising debt-service costs could reduce funds available for infrastructure, healthcare and education. The Federal Government targets N29.2 trillion in domestic borrowing for 2026, meaning the N24.7 trillion already borrowed represents 84.7 per cent of the target. Experts project that total domestic borrowing could reach between N30 trillion and N34 trillion by the end of the year if government spending continues to exceed revenue.

Distribution companies in Nigeria recorded a N123.87 billion gap between the value of electricity supplied to them and the revenue they collected from customers in June 2026. According to the latest commercial performance report released by the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission, the DisCos received electricity worth N315.73 billion during the month but collected only N191.86 billion. The report showed that total revenue collection fell by 7.82 per cent compared with May, while the amount of electricity received declined by 4.02 per cent. Collection efficiency also dropped to 79.71 per cent, representing a 2.61 percentage-point decline from the previous month. On billing, the DisCos issued bills worth N240.71 billion to customers, with billing efficiency standing at 76.24 per cent. The report further showed that the average amount recovered per kilowatt-hour was N96.63, below the approved average tariff of N130.15, resulting in a recovery efficiency of 74.24 per cent. Benin Electricity Distribution Company recorded the highest collection rate at 94 per cent, while Eko and Port Harcourt DisCos recorded recovery efficiencies of 87.04 and 86.33 per cent respectively. However, Kaduna and Kano recorded much lower recovery efficiencies of 37.03 and 44.04 per cent, while Jos recorded 55.18 per cent. Ikeja DisCo’s recovery efficiency dropped by 14.54 percentage points to 80.08 per cent, while Abuja DisCo recorded a 10.87 percentage-point decline to 73.98 per cent. The figures indicated that poor revenue collection remained a major challenge for Nigeria’s electricity distribution sector, despite customers being billed for electricity consumed.